Decline of Pollinators Poses Threat to World Food Supply

The article highlights the current problem with the death of many pollinating animals/insects. There are about 20,000 species of wild bees that help the growth of fruits and vegetables, and if they start to go extinct or die off the amount of food supply is going to decrease. The total of all plants that depend on pollination from these animals make up 35 percent of the total crops and carry a value of about 577 billion dollars per year. The other problem with this is that the agricultural system is going to fail and millions of people worldwide will be without a job. Scientists believe that climate change is playing a huge roll in the danger towards bees in North America and Europe. The warming that is happening changes the territories of plants and also changes the blooming season for plants that provide fruits and vegetables to the world. Dr Watson, from the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research at the University of East Anglia, asked the question “Will the pollinators be there when the flowers need them?”

Scientists also predict that pesticides and and the emergence of genetically modified foods are adding to the problems. This problem can continue to increase in severity if the climate change and global pollution continue to increase throughout the next few decades. It will be necessary for scientists to figure out a way to help the bees and other pollinators survive the changing conditions. The pollinators will be crucial to sustaining a food supply for the growing population that we learned about in module nine.

Article:

Schwartz, John. “Decline of Pollinators Poses Threat to World Food Supply, Report Says.” The New York Times. The New York Times, 2016. Web. 03 Apr. 2016. <http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/27/science/decline-of-species-that-pollinate-poses-a-threat-to-global-food-supply-report-warns.html?_r=0>.

Clinton vs Sanders on Climate Change

Following statements from his campaign that Sanders would not run attack ads, Sanders has begun to attack Clinton. A lot of these attacks have to do with Clinton’s taking of money from the fossil fuel industry. The implications behind taking money from the fossil fuel industry are long reaching and are a major issue in this election. In fact, in only half of the first six democratic debates has climate change even been brought up for debate, despite 11% of would-be democratic voters ranking it the most important issue, third only behind the economy and healthcare. It ranked higher than terrorism, gun policy, and immigration combined, according to this MotherJones article. The lack of debate about climate change might stem from the common belief that Clinton and Sanders agree on climate change policy. While they agree that climate change exists, their plans are extremely dissimilar. Clinton’s plan increases renewable energy by increasing solar installations by 700% and offers tax breaks to companies using renewable energy but does little more than that. On the other hand, Sanders’ plan combats serious issues such as offshore drilling and the Keystone XL pipeline, a pipeline running through the heart of the country known for its serious opposition due to leaks and running through protected grounds. There are also serious differences in their stances on fracking and the impact of climate change on national security. Sanders’, for instance, believes that climate change is the single biggest threat to U.S. National Security, while Clinton’s views are far more reserved.

 

The entire debate boils down to Clinton’s softer stance on climate change and large acceptance of money from the fossil fuel industry. If elected, will that money impact her decisions when it comes time to crack down on climate change?

Major Bleaching in Great Barrier Reef

Australia is the home of the Great Barrier Reef and the world’s largest coral reef eco system. It homes thousands of organisms but as of Tuesday March 29, 2016, the Australian Research Council says it might be in a little of bit of trouble. The reef is currently experiencing the worst bleaching event in history. In addition, the National Coral Bleaching Taskforce took an aerial survey and documented more than 500 coral reefs spanning 2,485 miles were experiencing severe bleaching.

Bleaching is when coral is exposed to stresses such as warmer-than-average waters for prolonged periods of time. Then after the coral will appeared to white or “bleached”. This can be a problem for the current ecosystem because it can harm the organisms that live there. It can be dangerous for global ecosystems because it can affect food chains all around the world.

http://www.livescience.com/54272-great-barrier-reef-worst-coral-bleaching.html

China’s Carbon Emission

As reported by the New York Times, China’s Carbon Emission May Have Peaked, but It’s Hazy. It’s been a year since the U.S. negotiated a commitment with the Chinese government to comprise themselves to a deadline for reversing the rapid growth of greenhouse gas emission from the country,

China is known to be most contaminating country to global warming, a quarter of the total, and the negotiation set a deadline for 2030. Although it may seem far away, most environmentalists say the agreement will have a big impact in the environment. Surprinsingly, researchers have found that due to the slowing Chinese economy and energy data, it is likely that the emissions of carbon dioxide have fallen. These results will contribute to the worldwide effort to limit global warming to 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit. It also pressures other countries to meet their goals.

Nevertheless, the results are not certain and researchers admit that calculations that are definitive are only in hindsight. There are many problems regarding the accuracy of the results therefore making the situation more complicated. A paper published by the journal Nature Climate Change explains that the predictions through the energy statistics are unreliable.

Other scientists believe that carbon emission may be falling, after climbing rapidly since 2001. Another paper published by researchers, Fergus Green and Nicholas Stern, believe this is the case. The paper explains that 2014 may have been the peak of the country’s emissions and it may be declining today.

At the end of the day, all environmentalists agree that the emissions need to decline and every country needs to contribute. Officials are hopeful and consider of a 50 percent cut by 2020 possible.
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/04/04/world/asia/china-climate-change-peak-carbon-emissions.html?_r=0

How Is Climate Change Affecting the Philippines?

The article “How is Climate Change Affecting the Philippines?” talks about the effects of recent climate change in Philippines. The article first starts by showing data on an increase of typhoons in the country. Five of the ten worst typhoons in Philippines’ history happened after 2006. The worst one, Typhoon Yolanda, occurred in 2013 and killed more than 6,000, causing severe damages to the country. So the question that should be asked is: Why are the numbers of typhoons in Philippines increasing so much in the past few years? The answer to that question is climate change. One of the effects of climate change that is happening in our planet is an increase of tropical storms. Scientists also say that two other factors, geography and development in Philippines, are other reasons for such devastating consequences in the country.

The increase of ocean’s surface temperature leads to more heat released in the atmosphere. Due to this, more frequent and stronger storms are expected to happen. This is even more intense in the western Pacific Ocean, where Philippines is located at. This is why its geography is considered one of the factors for the occurrence of this natural disaster. Regarding development, Philippines is still lacking preparation to deal with these types of situation. Factors such as evacuation plan, early warning systems, and shelters would be critical in assisting the population when a typhoon is approaching.

Due to these factors, Philippines was ranked in 2013 as the number one country most affected by climate change by the “Global Climate Risk Index”. The expectations for the upcoming years are even worst, so the country needs to prepare itself by creating assisting action plans to the population in order to try to decrease the devastating effects these typhoons have on the country.

Reference: http://ecowatch.com/2016/01/22/climate-change-affecting-the-philippines/

New research suggests that the West Antarctic Ice Sheet could disintegrate faster than anticipated

Sea level rise is perhaps the most tangible and ubiquitous consequence of global warming, with major cities all over the world being threatened by its encroachment. A new model, co-designed by Penn State’s Dr. David Pollard and informed by Dr. Richard Alley, suggests that the IPCC’s most recent end-of-century sea level-rise projections may underestimate what is possible under the loss of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet by several feet. [1] Dr. Alley suggested the mechanism for faster disintegration which entails the loss of the buffering sea ice that borders the ice sheet due to warming waters around the continent. This could then destabilize the ice sheet to such a degree that it’s loss could become rapid, and the ice sheet holds enough water to raise sea level by 12 feet. When this method was incorporated into the model, Dr. Pollard and his colleagues were for the first time replicate a rise in sea level of 20-30 feet which is known to have occurred in a warming event 125,000 years ago. The test of a good climate model is its ability to recreate climate history, so this success lead further credibility to the model as it was used to predict the effects of human-induced warming on the ice sheets and sea level rise. Under the new model conditions, researches found it would be possible to achieve 5-6 feet of total sea level rise by the end of the century, which could be catastrophic to major low-lying cities and countries. This result is in no way definitive, but it does have the effect of making our future outlook even more bleak if we do not take serious steps to abate our carbon emissions and global warming at large.

Source:

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/31/science/global-warming-antarctica-ice-sheet-sea-level-rise.html?rref=collection%2Fsectioncollection%2Fearth&action=click&contentCollection=earth&region=rank&module=package&version=highlights&contentPlacement=1&pgtype=sectionfront&_r=0

When or how will climate change become a key policy issue in presidential elections?

In reference to the title, it doesn’t appear like it will be this year. There have been no extreme weather events that have affected the country on a national scale lately. While 2015 may have been the warmest year on record, the difference between its temperatures and years before it are imperceptible to most of the US that don’t observe weather trends. How do you capture the public’s attention on an issue that arguably hasn’t contributed to any national catastrophes as of late?

Sanders and Clinton have contributed most to the topic, but they just appear to be fighting for a few remaining undecided democrat voters; they’re preaching to the choir, and I can’t imagine it would help either of them get independent or moderate republican votes in the general election.

That being said, if Kasich gets the republican nomination, he looks to be the most likely candidate to attempt to reach across to independent and moderate democrats in an appeal to climate change regulation. It’s strange to think that a republican nominee has more incentive to speak on climate change than a democratic nominee, but that may be the case.

http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:JehM8NRDQ54J:www.lcv.org/assets/docs/presidential-candidates-on.pdf+&cd=1&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us

blog 9

Ashanti Thomas

April 3, 2016

Earth 103

Blog 9

Blog 9

In the article “Study: Climate Change-Caused Food Scarcity Could Have Dire Consequences” a model predicts climate changes will impact our food system causing malnutrition. Calories of food per person will increase in 2050 but with climate change it will not be at its ideal peak that we would want it to be because there is a predicted 3 percent decrease in calories each year, this could cause 500,00 extra deaths per year up to 2050. These deaths from the drop in calories would be considered extra deaths considering the mortality rate we already have.

 

I think this model and article is telling us that the more the climate changes it will continue to effect crop growth and as food supply of fruits and veggies etc lowers, our calorie intake does which will begin to destroy the population (malnutrition, etc.)

 

https://weather.com/health/news/climate-change-food-scarcit

Ethiopian farmers need urgent assistance amid major drought

In a United Nations breaking news article from earlier last month, The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) announced that a timely agricultural assistance for the upcoming rainy season is essential to help the drought. The drought in Ethiopia is worsened by the strong El Nino that has been impacting the lives and livelihoods of farmers and herders. The reason Ethiopia is struggling so badly is due to the drought that has led to successive crop failures and widespread livestock fatalities. FAO estimates taht 10.2 million people are not food insecure. The rainy season in Ethiopia is referred to as the belg which has been delayed. The rainy season, for Ethiopians, provide 85% of the nations food supplies.

In Module 9, impacts on different continents was explained to be controlled by the ability of the society to cope. The inability of Ethiopia to cope with the prolonged drought and strong El Nino, both enhanced by climate change, is due largely to the fact that they are a developing nation. Beatrice Mwangi, resilience and livelihoods director for World Vision explains this concept well, “[severe drought] is going to be the new norm. So our responses need to appreciate that.. there is climate change, and it’s going to affect the people.” Because agriculture in developing countries is more vulnerable to climate change than already developed countries, impact will depend on the ability of places like Ethiopia to adapt.

References:

http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=53381#.VwGGJBIrJYg

http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/mar/16/drought-high-temperatures-el-nino-36m-people-africa-hunger

Module 9 blog

In what ways will climate change impact the amount of food we produce, the types of food we produce, and the places where we produce our food?

Had to get a new computer because my old one died. But in terms of how we’re going to eat in the future. Again I’m reminded of my ethics professor Ron Johnson and his conversations on sustainability. http://www.sustainabletable.org/246/sustainable-agriculture-the-basics

And then I remind myself that my friend Jesse told me we’d probably start eating bugs for protein at some point in the future. I’ve read too many dystopian novels and watched too many movies where that’s the shorthand for everything being awful to adapt to that future. So hopefully we don’t wind up in a Mad Max or The Road Scenario.

Differences between Clinton and Sanders on Climate Change

In a closely contested primary Sander’s has started attacking Clinton for taking money from the fossil fuel industry.  Although Clinton has taken no personal donations from fossil fuel companies she has received money from individuals in charge of these companies totaling over 300,000 dollars.  Her super-packs have also taken in 4.5 million dollars from fossil fuel companies.  Bernie Sanders by comparison only has risen 50,000 dollars from the energy industry.  Sanders suggests that this means he will be a stronger supporter of preventing climate change.  Greenpeace an environmental activist group demanded this week that Clinton stop taking money from fossil fuel industry.  Another difference between the two is Clinton only came out against the Keystone pipeline in the summer while Sanders has been against it from the beginning.  Another difference between the two is how serious of an issue they see global warming, when asked at a debate what was the greatest security threat to the United States Clinton answered terrorism. Sanders answered climate change.

Clinton has however put out a policy proposal to install half a billion solar panels nation wide.  Clinton also has acknowledged the seriousness of climate change throughout her campaign.

Sanders strong environmental views have lead him to make progress at Clinton’s lead in her home state of New York which the environment is a major issue in.  Both candidates overall appear to be strong supporters of environmental regulation to help stop climate change.

http://www.cnsnews.com/news/article/cnsnewscom-staff/bernie-sanders-climate-change-greatest-security-threat-and-directly

Amazing New York Water System

The article I have chosen to blog about this week, “How New York Gets Its Water”, by the New York Times, took a detailed look into the amazing process of supplying the largest city in the United States with its clean water.  The reason I have chosen to blog about this article is because of recent controversy in Flint, Michigan where public drinking water was contaminated, and also how fresh water has been a topic evaluated in our modules throughout this course.  I found the article very informative and was interested in seeing the process and detailed thought that goes into creating such a large scale plan.  In the article it is noted that 90 percent of the city’s supply is from the Catskill/Delaware watershed, which extends nearly 125 miles northwest of the city.  The watershed extends over a million acres and is owned by the city, state and local governments, nonprofit land conservancies, and private owners so the land can be regulated to prevent pollutants from getting into the water supply.  A 92-mile-long Catskill Aqueduct is located 1,100 feet underneath the Hudson River and was constructed nearly a century ago.  The Aqueduct uses only gravity to force the water into the city making it an extremely efficient system.  The article also shares interesting information on the high-tech water treatment facilities and amazingly engineered water grid throughout the city.  The project is huge and is updated yearly as new problems arise, however, New York has done an amazing job of staying on top of the system.  I am pretty amazed at how big the process is and how much time and effort went in to engineering it.  Although every city has its own complex system it is stated that many should learn from the way New York has accomplished the goal of supplying such a large population.  New York’s water is commonly nicknamed the “Champagne of Drinking Water” and I am glad I got a chance to read this article to learn a little more of how it works.

Rueb, Emily S. “How New York Gets Its Water.” The New York Times. The New York Times, 23 Mar. 2016. Web. 03 Apr. 2016. <http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/03/24/nyregion/how-nyc-gets-its-water-new-york-101.html?rref=collection%2Fsectioncollection%2Fearth&action=click&contentCollection=earth®ion=rank&module=package&version=highlights&contentPlacement=2&pgtype=sectionfront&_r=0>.

Less Food Means More Deaths Due To Climate Change

A recent modeling study has predicted that due to climate change, food shortages could cost the world 500,000 extra deaths per year by 2050. The model predicted a 3 percent decrease in calories per person per day. Red meat, fruit and vegetable consumption will take the biggest hit. However, this study also finds that deaths caused by malnutrition will actually fall by 2050.

The model predicts that food availability will actually increase by 2050 even with climate change implications.  Calories per person will be up to 3008 per day from 2817 right now. While this is good that calories will grow, it is not up to the ideal level of 3106 per day that would occur without climate change.

While it seems confusing that calories AND deaths will increase, it is taking into account that the population will also be increasing. This means the extra deaths result from the predicted 3106 calories per day dropping to 3008 due to climate change. The most impacted areas will be areas with high populations that have little access to food like China and India.

I think the study was just trying to inform people that climate change would affect food supplies. Hot places will get hotter and be unable to grow crops, but cool places may actually warm up enough to grow crops. Middle latitudes will actually have weather that is more favorable.  This is a problem because some of the biggest polluters are in middle latitudes and many living in these latitudes will not see the negative effects of climate change.

Resource:

https://weather.com/health/news/climate-change-food-scarcity

Even in a Warming World, It Will Still Snow Somewhere

One of the most common misconceptions about climate change is that it does not exist because there are still substantial snow storms, cold fronts, blizzards, and extreme winters in general. The problem with this type of rationalization to disprove global warming is that it is terribly short sighted. The advocates of these types of ideas are guilty of confusing weather with climate. As we learned in class, weather is the short term and more variable description, while climate is an overall trend that encompasses a much more comprehensive amount of time. Therefore climate change will be much more gradual than weather change. Many times our climate threats have been compared to the threat associated with smoking as there are variations that both carry inherently. Some smokers live short, unhealthy lives and some live inexplicably longer than they should given their lifestyle. “We’re kind of like the smoker who hasn’t smoked too many cigarettes a day for too many years yet,” Dr. Sobel says in the article. I think the biggest emphasis in this quote should be on the final word: yet. That’s the most critical word because it implies (correctly) that if we continue on the same path, that, like the smoker, we will certainly die from the effects at some point. The odds increase directly as time goes on without cleaning up our emissions. The main takeaway from this article is that just because there are cold days (even if they are colder than normal) there are much more implicit threats when one analyzes the climate changes over a longer period of time as opposed to day by day comparison; long term thinking and consideration of future generations is the only approach that will solve the entire problem.

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/04/03/science/even-in-a-warming-world-it-will-still-snow-somewhere.html?rref=collection%2Fsectioncollection%2Fscience&action=click&contentCollection=science&region=rank&module=package&version=highlights&contentPlacement=2&pgtype=sectionfront